000
WHXX01 KWBC 151839
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1839 UTC MON OCT 15 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE RAFAEL (AL172012) 20121015 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        121015  1800   121016  0600   121016  1800   121017  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    23.6N  65.8W   25.4N  66.6W   27.1N  65.8W   29.0N  62.9W
BAMD    23.6N  65.8W   26.3N  65.2W   30.0N  63.9W   34.5N  62.0W
BAMM    23.6N  65.8W   25.6N  65.8W   28.1N  64.4W   31.2N  61.6W
LBAR    23.6N  65.8W   25.6N  65.6W   28.4N  65.3W   31.4N  63.9W
SHIP        60KTS          62KTS          64KTS          68KTS
DSHP        60KTS          62KTS          64KTS          68KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        121017  1800   121018  1800   121019  1800   121020  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    31.2N  58.9W   35.2N  53.1W   36.8N  49.2W   36.9N  48.4W
BAMD    38.9N  58.7W   45.6N  40.5W   44.2N  20.0W   48.8N   9.2W
BAMM    34.5N  57.7W   39.7N  46.3W   38.8N  29.8W   37.4N  14.9W
LBAR    35.6N  61.1W   43.0N  47.4W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        69KTS          51KTS          46KTS          42KTS
DSHP        69KTS          51KTS          46KTS          42KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  23.6N LONCUR =  65.8W DIRCUR = 345DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  22.0N LONM12 =  65.2W DIRM12 = 327DEG SPDM12 =   8KT
LATM24 =  20.4N LONM24 =  64.3W
WNDCUR =   60KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   60KT
CENPRS =  985MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD =  275NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  180NM RD34SE =  180NM RD34SW =   80NM RD34NW = 120NM
 
$$
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