000
WHXX01 KMIA 151223
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1223 UTC MON OCT 15 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PAUL (EP162012) 20121015 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        121015  1200   121016  0000   121016  1200   121017  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.8N 114.8W   18.7N 114.3W   20.6N 113.2W   22.7N 112.3W
BAMD    16.8N 114.8W   19.0N 114.4W   22.2N 113.3W   25.7N 112.3W
BAMM    16.8N 114.8W   19.3N 114.4W   22.5N 113.3W   25.2N 112.6W
LBAR    16.8N 114.8W   18.9N 114.5W   21.5N 114.4W   23.8N 113.8W
SHIP        75KTS          80KTS          76KTS          65KTS
DSHP        75KTS          80KTS          76KTS          65KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        121017  1200   121018  1200   121019  1200   121020  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    25.0N 111.5W   28.4N 110.4W   29.9N 110.0W   30.6N 107.7W
BAMD    28.2N 111.4W   29.9N 105.2W   26.3N  95.8W   22.5N  90.0W
BAMM    27.3N 112.7W   29.7N 113.2W   31.3N 113.5W   31.9N 112.1W
LBAR    25.5N 112.2W   26.8N 105.9W   27.4N  97.8W   28.3N  89.7W
SHIP        48KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        48KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.8N LONCUR = 114.8W DIRCUR =  10DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  15.2N LONM12 = 115.1W DIRM12 =   6DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  14.6N LONM24 = 114.9W
WNDCUR =   75KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   60KT
CENPRS =  983MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  280NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   90NM RD34SE =   80NM RD34SW =   60NM RD34NW =  70NM
 
$$
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