000
WHXX01 KMIA 150643
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0643 UTC MON OCT 15 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PAUL (EP162012) 20121015 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        121015  0600   121015  1800   121016  0600   121016  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.7N 115.0W   17.6N 114.7W   19.5N 113.8W   21.3N 112.9W
BAMD    15.7N 115.0W   17.7N 114.8W   20.4N 113.9W   24.0N 113.0W
BAMM    15.7N 115.0W   18.0N 114.7W   20.9N 113.8W   23.9N 113.0W
LBAR    15.7N 115.0W   17.4N 114.9W   19.6N 115.0W   22.1N 114.9W
SHIP        65KTS          74KTS          71KTS          67KTS
DSHP        65KTS          74KTS          71KTS          67KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        121017  0600   121018  0600   121019  0600   121020  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    23.5N 111.9W   27.6N 110.4W   29.2N 110.3W   30.4N 109.5W
BAMD    27.4N 112.3W   30.6N 108.4W   28.3N  98.3W   24.3N  89.3W
BAMM    26.4N 112.8W   29.4N 113.4W   31.4N 115.1W   32.8N 116.4W
LBAR    24.3N 114.3W   26.8N 109.9W   26.8N 103.3W   27.4N  95.7W
SHIP        53KTS          19KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        53KTS          19KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.7N LONCUR = 115.0W DIRCUR =   5DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  14.9N LONM12 = 115.1W DIRM12 = 342DEG SPDM12 =   3KT
LATM24 =  14.1N LONM24 = 114.2W
WNDCUR =   65KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   50KT
CENPRS =  988MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  260NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   80NM RD34SE =   70NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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