000
WTNT80 EGRR 150600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.10.2012

        TROPICAL STORM PAUL       ANALYSED POSITION : 16.6N 114.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.10.2012  16.6N 114.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.10.2012  19.3N 113.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2012  26.1N 112.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.10.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL     ANALYSED POSITION : 20.9N  63.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.10.2012  20.9N  63.9W    STRONG
 12UTC 15.10.2012  22.5N  65.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2012  24.3N  65.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.10.2012  26.8N  65.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.10.2012  30.5N  63.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 17.10.2012  35.3N  60.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 18.10.2012  40.4N  55.0W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2012  44.6N  47.0W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 19.10.2012  47.9N  38.1W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 19.10.2012  51.5N  33.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 20.10.2012  53.8N  34.7W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2012  53.6N  38.9W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 21.10.2012  48.7N  39.2W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 150500