000
WHXX01 KWBC 141845
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1845 UTC SUN OCT 14 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE RAFAEL (AL172012) 20121014 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        121014  1800   121015  0600   121015  1800   121016  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    20.3N  64.4W   21.6N  66.2W   23.0N  67.7W   24.5N  67.8W
BAMD    20.3N  64.4W   21.9N  65.3W   23.9N  65.9W   26.7N  65.6W
BAMM    20.3N  64.4W   21.7N  65.5W   23.4N  66.4W   25.6N  66.3W
LBAR    20.3N  64.4W   21.6N  65.2W   22.9N  66.1W   24.5N  67.1W
SHIP        50KTS          56KTS          62KTS          62KTS
DSHP        50KTS          56KTS          62KTS          62KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        121016  1800   121017  1800   121018  1800   121019  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    26.1N  65.9W   30.5N  59.2W   35.0N  54.9W   36.8N  51.0W
BAMD    30.4N  64.1W   39.3N  58.4W   46.6N  40.0W   46.6N  18.7W
BAMM    28.4N  64.6W   35.1N  57.3W   40.7N  43.5W   38.7N  24.0W
LBAR    26.9N  67.2W   33.2N  65.0W   40.2N  55.7W   42.7N  39.9W
SHIP        69KTS          71KTS          55KTS          50KTS
DSHP        69KTS          71KTS          55KTS          50KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  20.3N LONCUR =  64.4W DIRCUR = 330DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  18.9N LONM12 =  63.6W DIRM12 = 348DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  16.7N LONM24 =  63.6W
WNDCUR =   50KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS =  996MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  250NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =  150NM RD34SE =  150NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW = 100NM
 
$$
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