000 WTNT80 EGRR 140600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.10.2012 TROPICAL STORM PAUL ANALYSED POSITION : 13.7N 113.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162012 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.10.2012 13.7N 113.8W WEAK 12UTC 14.10.2012 13.6N 114.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2012 17.0N 113.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2012 18.0N 114.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2012 20.0N 113.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.10.2012 22.4N 113.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.10.2012 23.4N 113.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.10.2012 25.0N 113.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.10.2012 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL ANALYSED POSITION : 17.9N 63.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172012 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.10.2012 17.9N 63.3W MODERATE 12UTC 14.10.2012 19.2N 64.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2012 20.3N 65.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.10.2012 21.6N 66.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2012 23.2N 66.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.10.2012 25.5N 66.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.10.2012 28.9N 64.4W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 17.10.2012 33.6N 61.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 18.10.2012 38.2N 57.4W INTENSE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 18.10.2012 42.0N 50.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2012 44.2N 41.7W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.10.2012 EXTRA-TROPICAL THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 140456