000
WHXX01 KMIA 131845
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1845 UTC SAT OCT 13 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE PAUL (EP162012) 20121013 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        121013  1800   121014  0600   121014  1800   121015  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.0N 112.8W   14.3N 114.0W   14.9N 114.7W   16.1N 114.8W
BAMD    14.0N 112.8W   14.5N 114.5W   15.2N 115.5W   16.1N 115.8W
BAMM    14.0N 112.8W   14.4N 114.3W   15.2N 115.3W   16.3N 115.4W
LBAR    14.0N 112.8W   14.6N 115.3W   15.5N 117.5W   16.8N 119.5W
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        121015  1800   121016  1800   121017  1800   121018  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.6N 114.3W   22.1N 111.3W   26.2N 107.4W   25.7N 104.9W
BAMD    17.4N 115.2W   23.4N 111.8W   28.7N 105.6W   26.2N  93.9W
BAMM    17.9N 114.8W   23.8N 111.4W   28.3N 106.6W   26.3N 100.2W
LBAR    18.3N 121.0W   22.7N 123.0W   24.5N 126.0W   25.5N 125.8W
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.0N LONCUR = 112.8W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =  14KT
LATM12 =  14.0N LONM12 = 109.7W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 =  14KT
LATM24 =  13.6N LONM24 = 106.8W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  225NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   30NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  30NM
 
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