000 WHXX01 KWBC 131820 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1820 UTC SAT OCT 13 2012 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RAFAEL (AL172012) 20121013 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 121013 1800 121014 0600 121014 1800 121015 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.7N 63.6W 18.1N 64.6W 19.5N 65.4W 20.7N 66.2W BAMD 16.7N 63.6W 18.3N 64.1W 19.9N 64.7W 21.5N 65.2W BAMM 16.7N 63.6W 18.1N 64.2W 19.6N 64.8W 21.1N 65.3W LBAR 16.7N 63.6W 18.2N 63.7W 19.5N 64.3W 20.3N 64.9W SHIP 35KTS 42KTS 52KTS 61KTS DSHP 35KTS 42KTS 52KTS 61KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 121015 1800 121016 1800 121017 1800 121018 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 22.5N 66.8W 27.3N 64.4W 34.2N 57.3W 39.6N 48.6W BAMD 23.7N 65.5W 30.2N 62.9W 40.0N 54.6W 46.3N 36.8W BAMM 23.2N 65.7W 29.1N 63.2W 37.5N 55.1W 44.0N 41.3W LBAR 21.1N 65.8W 23.3N 67.6W 26.4N 67.0W 31.9N 64.7W SHIP 68KTS 75KTS 75KTS 56KTS DSHP 68KTS 75KTS 75KTS 56KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 16.7N LONCUR = 63.6W DIRCUR = 5DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 15.4N LONM12 = 63.8W DIRM12 = 316DEG SPDM12 = 4KT LATM24 = 14.7N LONM24 = 62.7W WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 150NM WNDM12 = 35KT CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 150NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN