000
WTNT80 EGRR 131800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 13.10.2012

        TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL     ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N  64.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.10.2012  15.5N  64.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 14.10.2012  17.6N  63.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 14.10.2012  19.5N  65.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2012  21.0N  66.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.10.2012  22.1N  67.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.10.2012  23.8N  67.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2012  26.4N  67.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2012  30.1N  65.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 17.10.2012  34.8N  62.7W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.10.2012  39.9N  57.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 18.10.2012  43.0N  48.7W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 19.10.2012  EXTRA-TROPICAL

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 131725