000
WTNT80 EGRR 130600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.10.2012

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATTY      ANALYSED POSITION : 24.6N  71.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.10.2012  24.6N  71.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.10.2012  24.8N  72.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL     ANALYSED POSITION : 15.4N  63.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.10.2012  15.4N  63.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.10.2012  16.6N  63.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 14.10.2012  18.8N  64.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2012  20.3N  66.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2012  21.2N  67.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2012  22.4N  68.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2012  24.1N  69.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2012  26.4N  68.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2012  29.8N  66.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 17.10.2012  34.1N  63.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.10.2012  39.4N  59.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 18.10.2012  42.5N  51.2W   EXTRA-TROPICAL


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 130502