000
WTNT80 EGRR 120600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 12.10.2012

        TROPICAL STORM PATTY      ANALYSED POSITION : 25.3N  72.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.10.2012  25.3N  72.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.10.2012  24.4N  73.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.10.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 13.1N  60.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.10.2012  13.1N  60.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.10.2012  15.2N  61.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2012  17.2N  63.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.10.2012  18.6N  64.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.10.2012  20.3N  65.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.10.2012  21.7N  67.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2012  23.1N  68.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2012  24.5N  69.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.10.2012  26.6N  69.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2012  29.3N  67.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2012  33.2N  65.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 17.10.2012  37.8N  60.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 18.10.2012  41.8N  53.5W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 120443