000
WHXX01 KMIA 061429
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1429 UTC SAT OCT 6 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE FIFTEEN (EP152012) 20121006 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        121006  1200   121007  0000   121007  1200   121008  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.8N 117.8W   14.4N 119.6W   15.0N 121.0W   15.4N 122.2W
BAMD    13.8N 117.8W   14.5N 119.7W   15.3N 121.3W   16.3N 122.5W
BAMM    13.8N 117.8W   14.5N 119.7W   15.3N 121.4W   16.2N 122.6W
LBAR    13.8N 117.8W   14.5N 119.5W   15.5N 121.2W   16.6N 122.4W
SHIP        30KTS          36KTS          43KTS          46KTS
DSHP        30KTS          36KTS          43KTS          46KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        121008  1200   121009  1200   121010  1200   121011  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.8N 123.2W   16.3N 125.4W   16.5N 128.0W   16.6N 130.7W
BAMD    17.2N 123.4W   18.5N 124.4W   21.8N 119.7W   29.3N 113.5W
BAMM    16.7N 123.3W   17.1N 124.7W   17.2N 125.9W   17.6N 126.5W
LBAR    17.7N 123.4W   19.1N 124.0W   20.1N 124.2W   22.8N 122.2W
SHIP        47KTS          35KTS          18KTS           0KTS
DSHP        47KTS          35KTS          18KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.8N LONCUR = 117.8W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  13.5N LONM12 = 116.5W DIRM12 = 287DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  13.3N LONM24 = 114.0W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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