000
WTNT80 EGRR 051800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.10.2012

        TROPICAL STORM OSCAR      ANALYSED POSITION : 23.6N  37.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.10.2012  23.6N  37.8W   MODERATE
 00UTC 06.10.2012     BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 13.9N 119.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.10.2012  13.9N 119.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 07.10.2012  14.3N 120.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2012  14.9N 120.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2012  15.4N 120.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2012  15.6N 119.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2012  15.8N 119.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2012  16.1N 120.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2012  16.2N 120.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.10.2012  16.1N 120.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2012  16.4N 120.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 051646