000
WTNT80 EGRR 050600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.10.2012

        TROPICAL STORM OSCAR      ANALYSED POSITION : 21.6N  40.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.10.2012  21.6N  40.5W   MODERATE
 12UTC 05.10.2012  23.6N  37.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.10.2012  29.7N  32.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2012  EXTRA-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 14.4N 120.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.10.2012  14.4N 120.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.10.2012  14.6N 119.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2012  15.3N 120.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2012  15.3N 119.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.10.2012  15.4N 120.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2012  15.8N 120.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2012  16.3N 119.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2012  15.6N 120.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 050454