000
WTNT80 EGRR 030600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.10.2012

        TROPICAL STORM NADINE     ANALYSED POSITION : 34.5N  36.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.10.2012  34.5N  36.4W    STRONG
 12UTC 03.10.2012  35.2N  34.0W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.10.2012  37.6N  30.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.10.2012  42.6N  28.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.10.2012  46.7N  27.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 05.10.2012  47.0N  28.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 13.1N  97.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.10.2012  13.1N  97.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 04.10.2012  12.9N  99.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2012  13.5N 100.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2012  13.4N 103.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2012  14.4N 103.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2012  13.7N 104.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2012  14.0N 105.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2012  13.0N 104.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2012  12.4N 106.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2012  11.3N 106.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 17.8N  40.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.10.2012  17.8N  40.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 04.10.2012  18.6N  42.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2012  20.1N  42.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2012  21.2N  41.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2012  23.0N  38.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH



 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 030514