000
WTNT80 EGRR 011800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.10.2012

        TROPICAL STORM NADINE     ANALYSED POSITION : 36.0N  39.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.10.2012  36.0N  39.5W    STRONG
 00UTC 02.10.2012  35.1N  39.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.10.2012  34.5N  38.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2012  34.3N  37.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.10.2012  34.6N  35.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.10.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STENGTH


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 18.2N  40.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.10.2012  18.2N  40.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 04.10.2012  19.1N  40.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.10.2012  20.3N  40.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2012  21.1N  39.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2012  23.0N  37.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 011639