000
WTNT80 EGRR 280600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 28.09.2012

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRIAM     ANALYSED POSITION : 21.9N 116.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.09.2012  21.9N 116.8W   MODERATE
 12UTC 28.09.2012  21.5N 116.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.09.2012  21.4N 115.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.09.2012  21.0N 114.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM NADINE     ANALYSED POSITION : 28.3N  33.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.09.2012  28.3N  33.3W   MODERATE
 12UTC 28.09.2012  28.9N  34.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.09.2012  30.1N  35.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.09.2012  31.7N  37.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2012  33.8N  37.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 30.09.2012  35.7N  37.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2012  36.4N  37.8W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.10.2012  36.2N  37.8W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 02.10.2012  36.2N  37.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.10.2012  36.2N  36.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2012  36.3N  36.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.10.2012  36.9N  34.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.10.2012  38.1N  31.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 19.3N 107.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.09.2012  19.3N 107.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 28.09.2012  22.2N 108.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 29.09.2012  24.7N 108.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.09.2012  25.5N 110.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.09.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 280450