000
WTNT80 EGRR 211800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.09.2012

        TROPICAL STORM NADINE     ANALYSED POSITION : 34.3N  27.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.09.2012  34.3N  27.6W    STRONG
 00UTC 22.09.2012  32.4N  26.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.09.2012  30.9N  25.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2012  30.8N  23.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2012  31.5N  22.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 24.09.2012  32.2N  22.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2012  33.4N  21.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2012  33.9N  19.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2012  34.1N  17.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.09.2012  34.0N  14.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.09.2012  35.1N   8.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 27.09.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


       NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS

       FORECAST POSITION AT T+24 : 14.1N 108.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.09.2012  14.1N 108.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 23.09.2012  15.1N 109.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2012  16.2N 111.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 24.09.2012  17.2N 112.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.09.2012  18.9N 114.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2012  19.8N 115.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.09.2012  20.2N 116.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.09.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 211648