000
WTNT80 EGRR 191800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 19.09.2012

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION LANE       ANALYSED POSITION : 20.7N 131.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.09.2012  20.7N 131.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 20.09.2012  20.2N 132.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.09.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM NADINE     ANALYSED POSITION : 36.7N  32.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.09.2012  36.7N  32.2W    STRONG
 00UTC 20.09.2012  37.2N  31.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.09.2012  36.2N  30.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.09.2012  35.2N  28.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2012  33.2N  27.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.09.2012  31.5N  25.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.09.2012  31.5N  23.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.09.2012  32.5N  22.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2012  33.7N  21.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 24.09.2012  34.3N  20.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.09.2012  34.8N  20.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2012  34.5N  20.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.09.2012  33.4N  20.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 13.5N 105.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.09.2012  13.5N 105.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 23.09.2012  15.1N 106.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2012  15.9N 108.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2012  17.0N 111.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.09.2012  17.9N 113.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.09.2012  18.7N 115.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2012  19.1N 117.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 191703