000
WTNT80 EGRR 110600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 11.09.2012

             HURRICANE LESLIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 42.1 N  58.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.09.2012  42.N  58.9W    STRONG
 12UTC 11.09.2012  EXTRA-TROPICAL

             HURRICANE MICHAEL    ANALYSED POSITION : 34.5N  48.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.09.2012  34.5N  48.0W    STRONG
 12UTC 11.09.2012  37.9N  47.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.09.2012  43.3N  45.3W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 12.09.2012 EXTRA-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 16.8N 105.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.09.2012  16.8N 105.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.09.2012  17.7N 107.4W     WEAK   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 14.09.2012  18.4N 108.8W     WEAK   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.09.2012  19.2N 110.5W     WEAK       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2012  20.3N 112.4W     WEAK    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.09.2012  21.3N 114.5W     WEAK       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2012  22.4N 116.8W     WEAK   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.09.2012  23.4N 118.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.09.2012  24.3N 119.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 13.2N 129.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.09.2012  13.2N 129.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 14.09.2012  13.1N 130.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2012  12.8N 131.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2012  12.7N 132.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2012  12.6N 132.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.09.2012  12.8N 133.4W     WEAK  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.09.2012  13.0N 134.2W     WEAK  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.09.2012  13.5N 135.5W     WEAK      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 17.8N  45.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.09.2012  17.8N  45.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.09.2012  19.3N  48.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.09.2012  20.3N  50.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2012  22.1N  53.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.09.2012  23.1N  55.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2012  24.9N  56.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.09.2012  26.6N  56.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.09.2012  28.7N  56.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.09.2012  31.0N  55.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 16.09.2012  33.4N  54.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.09.2012  36.2N  54.7W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 110504