000
WTNT80 EGRR 100600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.09.2012

        TROPICAL STORM LESLIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 33.8N  61.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.09.2012  33.8N  61.8W   INTENSE
 12UTC 10.09.2012  36.4N  60.7W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.09.2012  EXTRA-TROPICAL

             HURRICANE MICHAEL    ANALYSED POSITION : 33.4N  44.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.09.2012  33.4N  44.1W   INTENSE
 12UTC 10.09.2012  33.4N  45.6W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.09.2012  34.8N  47.6W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.09.2012  38.1N  47.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.09.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 14.3N 101.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.09.2012  14.3N 101.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.09.2012  16.1N 102.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.09.2012  17.5N 105.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.09.2012  19.4N 106.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2012  19.5N 108.5W     WEAK       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2012  20.0N 109.4W     WEAK       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2012  20.4N 110.6W     WEAK       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2012  21.4N 111.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.09.2012  22.7N 113.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.09.2012  24.1N 114.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 100524