000
WTNT80 EGRR 091800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.09.2012

        TROPICAL STORM LESLIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 31.7N  62.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.09.2012  31.7N  62.4W   INTENSE
 00UTC 10.09.2012  33.6N  62.0W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2012  35.9N  60.8W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.09.2012  39.7N  58.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.09.2012  45.8N  55.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.09.2012  50.8N  49.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 12.09.2012  EXTRA-TROPICAL

             HURRICANE MICHAEL    ANALYSED POSITION : 33.6N  43.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.09.2012  33.6N  43.0W   INTENSE
 00UTC 10.09.2012  33.6N  44.1W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2012  33.7N  45.8W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.09.2012  35.2N  47.6W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.09.2012  38.7N  48.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.09.2012   EXTRA-TROPICAL


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 14.4N 100.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.09.2012  14.4N 100.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.09.2012  15.7N 102.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.09.2012  16.5N 104.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.09.2012  18.0N 106.1W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 13.09.2012  18.4N 108.1W    STRONG      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2012  18.4N 109.5W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 14.09.2012  18.9N 111.1W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.09.2012  19.3N 112.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.09.2012  19.8N 114.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 091649