000
WTNT80 EGRR 090600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.09.2012

        TROPICAL STORM LESLIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 29.6N  62.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.09.2012  29.6N  62.5W    STRONG
 12UTC 09.09.2012  31.4N  62.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.09.2012  33.6N  61.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.09.2012  36.0N  60.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.09.2012  39.9N  58.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.09.2012  46.5N  55.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.09.2012  52.4N  48.7W   EXTRA-TROPICAL

             HURRICANE MICHAEL    ANALYSED POSITION : 32.9N  42.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.09.2012  32.9N  42.3W   MODERATE
 12UTC 09.09.2012  33.6N  42.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2012  33.7N  43.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2012  34.0N  45.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.09.2012  35.6N  46.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.09.2012  39.4N  47.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.09.2012  EXTRA-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 13.5N 101.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.09.2012  13.5N 101.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.09.2012  14.4N 102.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.09.2012  16.1N 102.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.09.2012  17.5N 104.0W   MODERATE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.09.2012  19.0N 106.0W   MODERATE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 13.09.2012  19.4N 107.8W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 14.09.2012  19.4N 109.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2012  19.8N 111.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2012  20.5N 112.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 090500