000
WTNT80 EGRR 081800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.09.2012

        TROPICAL STORM LESLIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 28.3N  62.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.09.2012  28.3N  62.5W    STRONG
 00UTC 09.09.2012  29.6N  62.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2012  31.3N  62.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.09.2012  32.9N  61.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2012  34.8N  60.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.09.2012  37.6N  58.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.09.2012  42.3N  56.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.09.2012  45.4N  53.3W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 12.09.2012  48.0N  47.3W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.09.2012   EXTRA-TROPICAL

             HURRICANE MICHAEL    ANALYSED POSITION : 32.3N  42.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.09.2012  32.3N  42.1W    INTENSE
 00UTC 09.09.2012  32.9N  42.6W    INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.09.2012  33.2N  42.8W    INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.09.2012  33.4N  43.2W    INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2012  33.6N  44.5W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.09.2012  35.0N  46.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.09.2012   BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 14.2N 103.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.09.2012  14.2N 103.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.09.2012  15.9N 104.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2012  17.0N 105.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.09.2012  18.2N 106.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2012  19.1N 108.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.09.2012  19.5N 110.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.09.2012  19.9N 112.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 081630