000
WTNT80 EGRR 071800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.09.2012

             HURRICANE LESLIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 26.8N  62.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.09.2012  26.8N  62.1W   INTENSE
 00UTC 08.09.2012  27.1N  62.1W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.09.2012  27.8N  62.3W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.09.2012  29.0N  62.1W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2012  30.4N  62.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.09.2012  32.0N  61.7W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.09.2012  33.4N  61.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.09.2012  35.5N  59.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.09.2012  38.0N  56.8W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.09.2012  41.7N  53.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 12.09.2012  44.9N  50.1W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.09.2012  46.3N  47.5W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 13.09.2012  46.8N  45.2W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY

             HURRICANE MICHAEL    ANALYSED POSITION : 31.1N  40.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.09.2012  31.1N  40.9W    STRONG
 00UTC 08.09.2012  31.7N  41.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.09.2012  32.2N  41.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.09.2012  33.2N  41.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2012  33.7N  42.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2012  34.3N  42.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.09.2012  34.8N  43.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2012  36.0N  45.5W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.09.2012  39.5N  46.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.09.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 29.8N  77.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.09.2012  29.8N  77.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.09.2012  28.8N  75.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.09.2012  27.0N  75.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.09.2012  24.8N  76.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2012  24.0N  77.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2012  23.8N  77.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2012  24.3N  80.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 16.2N  36.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.09.2012  16.2N  36.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.09.2012  16.7N  39.1W     WEAK     INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.09.2012  17.6N  43.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.09.2012  17.4N  45.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2012  18.9N  47.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2012  21.1N  50.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2012  22.3N  51.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 071638