000
WTNT80 EGRR 051800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.09.2012

        TROPICAL STORM LESLIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 25.5N  63.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.09.2012  25.5N  63.1W    STRONG
 00UTC 06.09.2012  25.9N  63.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2012  25.9N  63.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.09.2012  25.9N  64.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.09.2012  25.9N  64.9W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 08.09.2012  26.7N  65.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.09.2012  28.3N  67.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.09.2012  30.9N  67.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 09.09.2012  33.9N  67.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.09.2012  37.8N  65.0W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.09.2012  44.4N  61.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.09.2012     EXTRA-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL    ANALYSED POSITION : 28.0N  43.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.09.2012  28.0N  43.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.09.2012  28.7N  43.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2012  29.1N  42.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2012  29.1N  42.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.09.2012  29.2N  42.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.09.2012  29.8N  43.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.09.2012  30.4N  43.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.09.2012  30.8N  44.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2012  31.1N  45.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.09.2012  31.7N  46.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2012  33.2N  49.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.09.2012  35.5N  50.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.09.2012  38.6N  50.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 29.2N  87.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.09.2012  29.2N  87.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.09.2012  28.3N  87.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2012  28.0N  88.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.09.2012  27.6N  88.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.09.2012  27.7N  89.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.09.2012     BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 051641