000
WTNT80 EGRR 021800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.09.2012

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION ILEANA     ANALYSED POSITION : 22.6N 121.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.09.2012  22.6N 121.8W   MODERATE
 00UTC 03.09.2012  22.4N 124.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2012  22.0N 126.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.09.2012  21.6N 127.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2012  20.7N 129.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2012  19.8N 130.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.09.2012   BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


        TROPICAL STORM KIRK       ANALYSED POSITION : 44.9N  38.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.09.2012  44.9N  38.6W    STRONG
 00UTC 03.09.2012 EXTRA-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM LESLIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 21.7N  60.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.09.2012  21.7N  60.6W   MODERATE
 00UTC 03.09.2012  23.6N  62.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2012  25.2N  63.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.09.2012  26.2N  63.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2012  26.4N  63.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.09.2012  27.0N  63.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 05.09.2012  27.7N  63.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.09.2012  28.5N  63.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2012  29.2N  63.8W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2012  29.9N  63.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.09.2012  30.8N  64.2W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.09.2012  32.2N  64.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.09.2012  34.1N  65.6W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 18.5N  109.6E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.09.2012  18.5N 109.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 03.09.2012  20.0N 111.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2012  21.6N 113.5W     WEAK     INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2012  22.8N 115.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2012  23.8N 117.1W     WEAK     INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.09.2012  24.3N 117.8W     WEAK     INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.09.2012  25.1N 118.5W     WEAK      WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2012  25.3N 119.4W     WEAK         LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.09.2012  25.5N 119.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.09.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 021715