000
WTNT80 EGRR 020600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.09.2012

        TROPICAL STORM ILEANA     ANALYSED POSITION : 22.5N 119.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2012  22.5N 119.7W   MODERATE
 12UTC 02.09.2012  22.6N 121.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2012  22.4N 124.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2012  22.1N 126.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.09.2012  21.9N 128.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM KIRK       ANALYSED POSITION : 40.4N  43.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2012  40.4N  43.3W   MODERATE
 12UTC 02.09.2012  44.9N  38.8W   EXTRA-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM LESLIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 19.4N  58.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2012  19.4N  58.0W   MODERATE
 12UTC 02.09.2012  21.3N  60.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2012  22.8N  62.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2012  24.3N  63.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2012  25.7N  63.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2012  26.2N  63.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2012  26.9N  63.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 05.09.2012  27.5N  63.8W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.09.2012  28.3N  64.1W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.09.2012  28.9N  64.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.09.2012  29.4N  64.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.09.2012  29.8N  64.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.09.2012  30.6N  64.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 17.8N 106.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.09.2012  16.8N 106.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.09.2012  17.8N 108.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2012  19.8N 110.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2012  21.5N 112.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2012  22.8N 114.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2012  24.0N 115.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.09.2012  24.7N 117.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.09.2012  25.5N 118.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2012  25.8N 118.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 020443