000
WTNT80 EGRR 311800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 31.08.2012

             HURRICANE ILEANA     ANALYSED POSITION : 21.4N 114.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 31.08.2012  21.4N 114.9W   MODERATE
 00UTC 01.09.2012  21.9N 116.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2012  21.9N 117.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2012  22.1N 119.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2012  21.9N 121.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2012  21.7N 122.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2012  21.7N 124.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE KIRK       ANALYSED POSITION : 30.4N  50.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 31.08.2012  30.4N  50.8W   MODERATE
 00UTC 01.09.2012  33.8N  49.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.09.2012  37.9N  47.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.09.2012  41.8N  43.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2012  47.4N  36.7W   MODERATE    LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2012 EXTRA-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM LESLIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N  49.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 31.08.2012  15.8N  49.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 01.09.2012  17.0N  52.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2012  18.0N  54.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.09.2012  19.8N  57.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.09.2012  21.4N  59.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2012  23.1N  61.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2012  24.7N  62.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2012  25.9N  62.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2012  26.8N  62.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2012  28.0N  62.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 05.09.2012  29.1N  62.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.09.2012  29.9N  62.7W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2012  30.8N  63.1W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 13.9N 101.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2012  13.9N 101.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.09.2012  16.2N 103.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2012  17.7N 105.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2012  19.8N 107.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2012  22.2N 110.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2012  23.5N 111.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.09.2012  29.7N 111.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.09.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 311725