000 WTNT80 EGRR 311800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 31.08.2012 HURRICANE ILEANA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.4N 114.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092012 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.08.2012 21.4N 114.9W MODERATE 00UTC 01.09.2012 21.9N 116.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2012 21.9N 117.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2012 22.1N 119.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2012 21.9N 121.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2012 21.7N 122.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2012 21.7N 124.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2012 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE KIRK ANALYSED POSITION : 30.4N 50.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112012 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.08.2012 30.4N 50.8W MODERATE 00UTC 01.09.2012 33.8N 49.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2012 37.9N 47.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2012 41.8N 43.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2012 47.4N 36.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2012 EXTRA-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 49.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122012 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.08.2012 15.8N 49.1W WEAK 00UTC 01.09.2012 17.0N 52.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2012 18.0N 54.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2012 19.8N 57.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2012 21.4N 59.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2012 23.1N 61.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2012 24.7N 62.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2012 25.9N 62.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.09.2012 26.8N 62.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2012 28.0N 62.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 05.09.2012 29.1N 62.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.09.2012 29.9N 62.7W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2012 30.8N 63.1W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 13.9N 101.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.09.2012 13.9N 101.8W WEAK 12UTC 02.09.2012 16.2N 103.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2012 17.7N 105.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2012 19.8N 107.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2012 22.2N 110.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.09.2012 23.5N 111.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2012 29.7N 111.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2012 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 311725