000
WTNT80 EGRR 300600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.08.2012

             HURRICANE ILEANA     ANALYSED POSITION : 18.7N 113.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.08.2012  18.7N 113.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 30.08.2012  19.4N 114.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.08.2012  20.2N 114.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2012  21.0N 114.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2012  21.7N 115.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2012  22.2N 116.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2012  22.7N 117.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.09.2012  22.9N 119.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2012  23.0N 120.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM ISAAC      ANALYSED POSITION : 29.9N  90.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.08.2012  29.9N  90.9W   MODERATE
 12UTC 30.08.2012  31.3N  91.7W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 31.08.2012  32.9N  92.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.08.2012  35.2N  93.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.09.2012  37.6N  92.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2012  39.0N  91.1W   MODERATE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.09.2012  38.8N  89.4W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 02.09.2012  38.8N  88.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2012  38.6N  87.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2012  38.8N  86.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.09.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM KIRK       ANALYSED POSITION : 25.7N  48.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.08.2012  25.7N  48.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 30.08.2012  26.1N  50.1W    WEAK      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.08.2012  28.5N  51.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.08.2012  30.4N  52.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.08.2012   BELOW TROPICAL STROM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 20.7N  55.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2012  20.7N  55.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.09.2012  22.2N  56.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2012  23.9N  58.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2012  25.6N  59.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2012  26.8N  59.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 04.09.2012  28.0N  59.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.09.2012  29.0N  59.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 300637