000
WTNT80 EGRR 270600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 27.08.2012

        TROPICAL STORM ISAAC      ANALYSED POSITION : 24.2N  82.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.08.2012  24.2N  82.4W    STRONG
 12UTC 27.08.2012  25.6N  84.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.08.2012  27.1N  86.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2012  28.4N  87.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.08.2012  29.8N  88.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.08.2012  30.6N  88.9W    STRONG    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 30.08.2012  31.0N  89.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 30.08.2012  31.6N  89.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.08.2012  32.7N  88.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.08.2012  35.0N  88.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.09.2012  37.0N  88.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.09.2012  37.9N  88.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.09.2012  37.8N  87.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 12.2N 108.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.08.2012  12.2N 108.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 27.08.2012  13.9N 105.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.08.2012  15.5N 106.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2012  16.4N 109.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.08.2012  17.3N 111.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.08.2012  17.9N 111.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.08.2012  19.1N 113.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.08.2012  20.2N 113.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.08.2012  20.5N 114.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2012  20.6N 115.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.09.2012  20.5N 115.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2012  20.0N 116.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH



 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 270504