000
WTNT80 EGRR 221800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.08.2012

        TROPICAL STORM ISAAC      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N  58.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.08.2012  15.6N  58.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 23.08.2012  16.3N  61.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2012  16.6N  64.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.08.2012  17.6N  67.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2012  18.4N  69.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.08.2012  20.0N  72.9W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 25.08.2012  21.2N  74.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.08.2012  22.6N  76.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2012  24.0N  78.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.08.2012  25.2N  80.0W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.08.2012  26.6N  81.7W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.08.2012  27.6N  83.1W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.08.2012  29.2N  83.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10L        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.7N  35.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL102012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.08.2012  12.7N  35.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 23.08.2012  13.4N  38.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2012  14.4N  41.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.08.2012  15.8N  44.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2012  16.6N  47.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2012  18.2N  50.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.08.2012  19.7N  53.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.08.2012  21.6N  56.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2012  23.5N  60.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.08.2012  25.9N  63.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.08.2012  28.0N  66.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.08.2012  30.7N  66.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2012  31.7N  66.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 13.9N  26.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.08.2012  13.9N  26.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 25.08.2012  13.4N  28.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.08.2012  13.7N  30.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.08.2012  15.1N  33.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2012  15.8N  38.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.08.2012  17.4N  41.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.08.2012  19.2N  43.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.08.2012  20.2N  45.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2012  21.9N  47.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 221642