000
WTNT80 EGRR 190600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 19.08.2012

             HURRICANE GORDON     ANALYSED POSITION : 34.6N  35.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.08.2012  34.6N  35.1W   INTENSE
 12UTC 19.08.2012  35.0N  31.4W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.08.2012  35.8N  28.3W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 20.08.2012  37.1N  25.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.08.2012  37.6N  23.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 21.08.2012  38.3N  22.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.08.2012  39.0N  21.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.08.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 36.9N  76.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.08.2012  16.5N  42.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 21.08.2012  16.6N  45.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2012  16.8N  49.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2012  17.0N  52.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2012  16.8N  53.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2012  16.8N  55.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.08.2012  18.6N  58.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.08.2012  19.3N  61.3W   MODERATE        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2012  20.3N  62.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.08.2012  21.8N  63.4W   MODERATE        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 190455