000
WTNT80 EGRR 151800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.08.2012

        TROPICAL STORM HECTOR     ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 115.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.08.2012  17.7N 115.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.08.2012  18.4N 115.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2012  19.3N 115.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.08.2012  20.6N 116.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2012  21.9N 116.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2012  22.9N 117.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.08.2012  23.8N 117.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 35.5N  50.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.08.2012  35.5N  50.2W   MODERATE
 00UTC 18.08.2012  35.7N  46.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.08.2012  35.5N  41.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2012  35.3N  37.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 19.08.2012  35.7N  33.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2012  36.4N  30.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.08.2012  37.2N  27.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.08.2012  38.0N  24.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 21.08.2012  39.4N  21.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151720