000
WTNT80 EGRR 110600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 11.08.2012

        TROPICAL STORM GILMA      ANALYSED POSITION : 19.1N 120.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.08.2012  19.1N 120.0W   MODERATE
 12UTC 11.08.2012  19.8N 120.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2012  20.5N 119.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 12.08.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07L        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.1N  51.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.08.2012  13.1N  51.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.08.2012  14.1N  55.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2012  15.2N  58.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2012  15.8N  62.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.08.2012         BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 16.9N 102.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.08.2012  16.9N 102.6W   MODERATE
 12UTC 11.08.2012  17.4N 104.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2012  18.1N 107.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2012  17.7N 108.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.08.2012  17.9N 110.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.08.2012  17.7N 111.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2012  17.8N 113.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.08.2012  17.6N 114.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2012  17.7N 115.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2012  18.0N 115.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2012       BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 110436