000
WTNT80 EGRR 100600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.08.2012

        TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO    ANALYSED POSITION : 18.4N  95.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.08.2012  18.4N  95.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 10.08.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM GILMA      ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N 119.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.08.2012  17.5N 119.1W   INTENSE
 12UTC 10.08.2012  18.2N 119.7W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2012  18.9N 120.0W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.08.2012  19.8N 120.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2012  20.2N 120.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 12.08.2012  20.5N 120.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.08.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07L        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.4N  44.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.08.2012  13.4N  44.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 10.08.2012  12.9N  48.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.08.2012  13.6N  50.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2012  13.7N  53.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2012  14.6N  56.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2012  15.1N  58.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2012  16.1N  60.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.08.2012  17.2N  63.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.08.2012  18.4N  64.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2012  20.1N  66.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2012  21.4N  68.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2012  22.8N  70.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2012  23.8N  71.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 17.0N 102.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.08.2012  17.0N 102.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.08.2012  17.2N 104.2W     WEAK   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2012  18.0N 106.0W     WEAK   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2012  18.5N 108.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2012  18.2N 110.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.08.2012  18.3N 112.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.08.2012  18.0N 114.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2012  17.7N 116.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.08.2012  17.4N 117.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2012  17.2N 117.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2012  17.2N 117.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 100448