000
WTNT80 EGRR 081800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.08.2012

        TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO    ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N  89.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.08.2012  18.9N  89.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 09.08.2012  19.1N  92.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2012  19.4N  94.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 10.08.2012  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM GILMA      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 116.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.08.2012  15.8N 116.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 09.08.2012  16.3N 118.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2012  17.2N 119.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2012  17.7N 120.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2012  18.4N 121.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.08.2012  18.8N 121.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2012  19.3N 121.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2012  19.5N 120.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 16.5N  19.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.08.2012  16.5N  19.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.08.2012  16.5N  22.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2012  17.2N  26.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2012  17.8N  29.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2012  17.9N  34.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2012  18.4N  38.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2012  19.0N  42.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2012  19.4N  45.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2012  19.6N  49.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 081710