000
WHXX01 KWBC 071824
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1824 UTC TUE AUG 7 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERNESTO (AL052012) 20120807 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        120807  1800   120808  0600   120808  1800   120809  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.5N  85.5W   19.8N  88.6W   20.9N  91.8W   21.4N  94.5W
BAMD    18.5N  85.5W   19.2N  87.6W   19.8N  89.8W   20.1N  92.0W
BAMM    18.5N  85.5W   19.3N  88.0W   20.0N  90.4W   20.5N  92.8W
LBAR    18.5N  85.5W   19.5N  87.5W   20.5N  89.7W   21.5N  91.9W
SHIP        70KTS          82KTS          88KTS          88KTS
DSHP        70KTS          67KTS          40KTS          42KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        120809  1800   120810  1800   120811  1800   120812  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.5N  97.2W   20.4N 101.7W   19.1N 105.4W   18.4N 108.2W
BAMD    20.1N  94.1W   19.6N  98.5W   19.7N 103.0W   19.9N 107.5W
BAMM    20.5N  95.2W   19.9N 100.0W   19.5N 104.8W   19.5N 109.5W
LBAR    22.5N  93.7W   24.3N  96.3W   26.2N  97.1W   27.4N  98.2W
SHIP        88KTS          78KTS          77KTS          74KTS
DSHP        42KTS          29KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  18.5N LONCUR =  85.5W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR =  13KT
LATM12 =  17.3N LONM12 =  83.3W DIRM12 = 298DEG SPDM12 =  12KT
LATM24 =  16.2N LONM24 =  81.2W
WNDCUR =   70KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   55KT
CENPRS =  983MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  160NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  120NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =   30NM RD34NW =  50NM
 
$$
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