000
WTNT80 EGRR 071800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.08.2012

        TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO    ANALYSED POSITION : 17.9N  84.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.08.2012  17.9N  84.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 08.08.2012  19.3N  87.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2012  19.9N  89.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.08.2012  19.7N  92.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2012  20.1N  94.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2012  20.7N  96.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 10.08.2012  21.0N  98.5W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.08.2012   BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE   ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N  47.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.08.2012  16.4N  47.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.08.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL STORM GILMA          ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 112.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.08.2012  14.4N 112.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.08.2012  14.9N 114.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2012  15.4N 116.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2012  15.5N 118.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2012  15.5N 118.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.08.2012  16.1N 118.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.08.2012  16.0N 117.5W     WEAK      WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2012    BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 :  8.6N 162.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.08.2012   8.6N 162.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.08.2012   8.8N 164.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2012   8.2N 166.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2012   8.4N 169.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.08.2012   8.4N 170.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2012  10.1N 173.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2012  11.0N 176.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2012  11.8N 179.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2012  13.3N 177.9E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2012  13.5N 174.4E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2012  14.8N 171.7E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 071652