000
WTNT80 EGRR 070600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.08.2012

        TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO    ANALYSED POSITION : 16.6N  81.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.08.2012  16.6N  81.8W    STRONG
 12UTC 07.08.2012  18.2N  84.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2012  18.8N  86.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2012  19.5N  89.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.08.2012  20.1N  92.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2012  20.0N  94.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2012  20.6N  96.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.08.2012  20.9N  97.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.08.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 070450