000
WHXX01 KWBC 061815
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1815 UTC MON AUG 6 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERNESTO (AL052012) 20120806 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        120806  1800   120807  0600   120807  1800   120808  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.0N  81.1W   17.0N  83.7W   17.9N  86.1W   18.6N  88.5W
BAMD    16.0N  81.1W   16.5N  83.1W   17.1N  84.9W   17.7N  86.7W
BAMM    16.0N  81.1W   16.8N  83.3W   17.6N  85.4W   18.3N  87.5W
LBAR    16.0N  81.1W   16.7N  83.0W   17.5N  84.9W   18.4N  86.9W
SHIP        55KTS          64KTS          72KTS          80KTS
DSHP        55KTS          64KTS          72KTS          80KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        120808  1800   120809  1800   120810  1800   120811  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.5N  91.0W   20.6N  95.5W   20.8N  99.7W   20.9N 104.6W
BAMD    18.1N  88.6W   18.6N  92.2W   18.5N  95.6W   18.7N  99.1W
BAMM    19.0N  89.7W   19.9N  94.0W   19.8N  98.3W   20.1N 103.4W
LBAR    19.3N  88.9W   21.2N  92.6W   23.1N  95.5W   25.0N  96.3W
SHIP        83KTS          84KTS          72KTS          66KTS
DSHP        53KTS          42KTS          28KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.0N LONCUR =  81.1W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =  15.4N LONM12 =  79.6W DIRM12 = 298DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  15.0N LONM24 =  77.9W
WNDCUR =   55KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   50KT
CENPRS =  995MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =  110NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  30NM
 
$$
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