000
WHXX01 KWBC 051838
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1838 UTC SUN AUG 5 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERNESTO (AL052012) 20120805 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        120805  1800   120806  0600   120806  1800   120807  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.2N  77.9W   15.5N  80.8W   15.6N  83.3W   15.5N  85.4W
BAMD    15.2N  77.9W   15.4N  80.4W   15.6N  82.7W   15.7N  84.8W
BAMM    15.2N  77.9W   15.3N  80.7W   15.3N  83.1W   15.2N  85.1W
LBAR    15.2N  77.9W   15.7N  80.8W   16.4N  83.7W   17.1N  86.4W
SHIP        45KTS          50KTS          56KTS          62KTS
DSHP        45KTS          50KTS          56KTS          62KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        120807  1800   120808  1800   120809  1800   120810  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.5N  87.2W   15.9N  90.5W   16.5N  93.5W   17.1N  96.5W
BAMD    15.8N  86.7W   16.1N  90.7W   15.9N  94.5W   15.7N  97.8W
BAMM    15.1N  87.0W   15.3N  90.3W   15.7N  93.2W   16.4N  95.8W
LBAR    17.8N  88.8W   19.4N  92.7W   20.8N  95.5W   21.5N  97.4W
SHIP        67KTS          75KTS          76KTS          76KTS
DSHP        67KTS          42KTS          41KTS          41KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.2N LONCUR =  77.9W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  17KT
LATM12 =  15.1N LONM12 =  73.9W DIRM12 = 271DEG SPDM12 =  21KT
LATM24 =  14.6N LONM24 =  69.3W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =  110NM RD34SE =   80NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  30NM
 
$$
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