000
WHXX01 KWBC 051245
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1245 UTC SUN AUG 5 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERNESTO (AL052012) 20120805 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        120805  1200   120806  0000   120806  1200   120807  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.8N  76.1W   15.4N  79.3W   15.6N  82.0W   15.7N  84.4W
BAMD    14.8N  76.1W   15.2N  78.8W   15.5N  81.2W   15.7N  83.4W
BAMM    14.8N  76.1W   15.3N  79.1W   15.4N  81.7W   15.5N  83.9W
LBAR    14.8N  76.1W   15.3N  79.6W   15.9N  82.9W   16.5N  85.9W
SHIP        45KTS          49KTS          56KTS          61KTS
DSHP        45KTS          49KTS          56KTS          61KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        120807  1200   120808  1200   120809  1200   120810  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.6N  86.4W   15.7N  89.9W   15.8N  93.0W   16.2N  95.4W
BAMD    15.9N  85.5W   16.4N  89.6W   16.4N  93.7W   15.8N  97.3W
BAMM    15.5N  86.0W   15.7N  89.8W   15.7N  93.2W   15.7N  96.0W
LBAR    17.3N  88.6W   19.1N  92.6W   20.4N  95.5W   20.5N  97.5W
SHIP        66KTS          78KTS          78KTS          79KTS
DSHP        66KTS          55KTS          40KTS          41KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.8N LONCUR =  76.1W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =  21KT
LATM12 =  15.1N LONM12 =  71.7W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 =  22KT
LATM24 =  14.2N LONM24 =  67.9W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =  110NM RD34SE =   80NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  30NM
 
$$
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