000
WHXX01 KWBC 041822
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1822 UTC SAT AUG 4 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERNESTO (AL052012) 20120804 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        120804  1800   120805  0600   120805  1800   120806  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.6N  69.3W   15.9N  72.8W   17.0N  76.5W   17.8N  79.6W
BAMD    14.6N  69.3W   15.6N  72.3W   16.6N  75.2W   17.5N  77.8W
BAMM    14.6N  69.3W   15.5N  72.4W   16.6N  75.7W   17.4N  78.5W
LBAR    14.6N  69.3W   15.1N  72.1W   16.0N  75.0W   16.9N  77.8W
SHIP        50KTS          56KTS          63KTS          70KTS
DSHP        50KTS          56KTS          63KTS          70KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        120806  1800   120807  1800   120808  1800   120809  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.3N  82.3W   18.5N  86.1W   18.6N  89.1W   18.9N  91.7W
BAMD    18.2N  80.0W   18.9N  83.4W   19.4N  86.4W   19.8N  89.7W
BAMM    17.9N  81.0W   18.3N  84.9W   18.6N  88.1W   18.9N  91.1W
LBAR    17.6N  80.3W   18.6N  84.2W   19.8N  87.1W   19.6N  90.0W
SHIP        76KTS          84KTS          90KTS          90KTS
DSHP        76KTS          84KTS          68KTS          53KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.6N LONCUR =  69.3W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =  15KT
LATM12 =  13.9N LONM12 =  66.4W DIRM12 = 278DEG SPDM12 =  15KT
LATM24 =  13.8N LONM24 =  63.3W
WNDCUR =   50KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   50KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  140NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =  120NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  40NM
 
$$
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