000
WTNT80 EGRR 041800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 04.08.2012

        TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO    ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N  68.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.08.2012  14.7N  68.1W   MODERATE
 00UTC 05.08.2012  15.6N  71.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2012  16.3N  75.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.08.2012  16.2N  78.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2012  16.7N  80.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2012  17.1N  82.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.08.2012  17.7N  84.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2012  18.7N  86.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2012  19.6N  88.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2012  20.3N  90.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2012  21.4N  92.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.08.2012  22.2N  92.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.08.2012  23.4N  94.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

        TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE   ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N  29.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.08.2012  14.7N  29.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 05.08.2012  15.5N  31.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2012  16.3N  33.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2012  16.8N  35.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.08.2012  17.0N  38.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 041657