000
WTNT80 EGRR 140600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.07.2012

        TROPICAL STORM EMILIA     ANALYSED POSITION : 15.4N 127.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.07.2012  15.4N 127.8W   MODERATE
 12UTC 14.07.2012  15.5N 130.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.07.2012  15.4N 133.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.07.2012  15.3N 135.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.07.2012  15.1N 138.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.07.2012  14.2N 141.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.07.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE FABIO      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 112.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.07.2012  15.8N 112.0W   MODERATE
 12UTC 14.07.2012  15.8N 113.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.07.2012  16.1N 115.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.07.2012  16.5N 117.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.07.2012  16.9N 118.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.07.2012  17.5N 120.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.07.2012  18.3N 121.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.07.2012  18.8N 122.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.07.2012  19.8N 123.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.07.2012  20.5N 124.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.07.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 140431