000
WTNT80 EGRR 251800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.05.2012

             HURRICANE BUD        ANALYSED POSITION : 18.2N 105.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.05.2012  18.2N 105.6W   INTENSE
 00UTC 26.05.2012  18.7N 105.7W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 26.05.2012  19.3N 105.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.05.2012  19.5N 105.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 27.05.2012  19.0N 106.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.05.2012   BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 31.5N  77.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.05.2012  31.5N  77.5W   MODERATE
 12UTC 27.05.2012  30.7N  79.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.05.2012  31.1N  80.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.05.2012  31.4N  82.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.05.2012  31.6N  82.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.05.2012  31.5N  81.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.05.2012  31.6N  79.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.05.2012  32.3N  77.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.05.2012  33.4N  74.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.05.2012  35.0N  71.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 251628