000
WTNT80 EGRR 241800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 24.05.2012

             HURRICANE BUD        ANALYSED POSITION : 15.1N 107.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.05.2012  15.1N 107.0W    STRONG
 00UTC 25.05.2012  16.8N 106.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.05.2012  17.9N 106.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.05.2012  18.7N 106.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.05.2012  19.5N 106.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.05.2012  19.9N 106.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 27.05.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 26.8N  79.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 25.05.2012  26.8N  79.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 25.05.2012  28.5N  78.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.05.2012  30.1N  75.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.05.2012  31.8N  74.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.05.2012  32.5N  76.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.05.2012  32.0N  79.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 28.05.2012  31.9N  80.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.05.2012  32.2N  81.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.05.2012  32.9N  81.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.05.2012  33.9N  80.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.05.2012  34.3N  77.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.05.2012  35.5N  74.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 241718