000
WTNT80 EGRR 171800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.05.2012

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA     ANALYSED POSITION : 12.0N 114.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012012

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.05.2012  12.0N 114.8W   MODERATE
 00UTC 18.05.2012  13.1N 114.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.05.2012  13.1N 114.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.05.2012  13.8N 114.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.05.2012  13.7N 113.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.05.2012  12.7N 113.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.05.2012        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 :  9.9N 100.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.05.2012   9.9N 100.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 20.05.2012  10.2N 100.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.05.2012  10.5N 101.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.05.2012  10.9N 102.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 22.05.2012  11.9N 103.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.05.2012  12.8N 105.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.05.2012  13.7N 107.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.05.2012  14.6N 108.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 171651