000
WTNT80 EGRR 191800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 19.11.2011

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :  9.9N  99.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.11.2011   9.9N  99.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 20.11.2011  10.6N 102.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.11.2011  11.1N 104.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.11.2011  11.8N 107.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.11.2011  12.3N 109.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.11.2011  12.6N 112.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.11.2011  12.6N 114.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.11.2011  12.6N 117.3W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 23.11.2011  13.2N 119.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 24.11.2011  14.2N 121.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.11.2011  15.0N 122.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.11.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 25.8N  53.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.11.2011  25.8N  53.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 22.11.2011  27.0N  51.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.11.2011  29.9N  45.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.11.2011  EXTRA-TROPICAL

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 191701